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	<title>Danville Mortgage Blog &#187; Statistics</title>
	<atom:link href="http://danvillemortgageblog.com/category/statistics/feed/" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml" />
	<link>http://danvillemortgageblog.com</link>
	<description>“Home Ownership, Done Right!”</description>
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		<title>The Year Is Half-Over. How Did The Housing Experts Fare On Their Predictions?</title>
		<link>http://danvillemortgageblog.com/2010/07/01/mortgage-housing-predictions-2010/</link>
		<comments>http://danvillemortgageblog.com/2010/07/01/mortgage-housing-predictions-2010/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 01 Jul 2010 12:49:51 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Mike Miller</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Statistics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Home Values,Mortgage Rates]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://danvillemortgageblog.com/2010/07/01/mortgage-housing-predictions-2010/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[As 2009 was ending, the "experts" were busy making forecasts about the U.S. economy and what to expect in 2010.  Were they right?
No related posts.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><!-- This material is non-exclusively licensed to Michael Miller and may not be copied, reproduced, or sold in any form whatsoever.-->
<p><img style="border: 1px solid black; float: right; margin-left: 5px; margin-right: 5px;" title="Housing and mortgage rate forecasts" src="http://bringtheblog.com/i/predicting-the-economy.jpg" alt="Housing and mortgage rate forecasts" width="220" height="220" />As 2009 was ending, the &#8220;experts&#8221; were busy making forecasts about the U.S. economy and what to expect in 2010.</p>
<p>With respect to the housing markets, two predictions were made again and again:</p>
<ol>
<li><a title="Home price prediction for 2010" href="http://www.time.com/time/business/article/0,8599,1952132,00.html" target="_blank">Home prices would fall</a> in the first half of 2010</li>
<li>Mortgage rates <a title="Mortgage rates will rise in 2010" href="http://www.cnbc.com/id/34513588/After_Record_Lows_Mortgage_Rates_Headed_Up_in_2010" target="_blank">would be higher in 2010</a></li>
</ol>
<p>Well, it&#8217;s July 1 and the year is half-over.&nbsp; Both predictions are proving to be incorrect.<a title="Home Price Index June 2010" href="http://www.fhfa.gov/webfiles/15866/HPIApr2010PR62210.pdf" target="_blank"> Home values are rising</a> in most markets and mortgage rates are down. <a title="Freddie Mac PMMS survey June 24 2010" href="http://www.freddiemac.com/pmms/release.html?week=25&amp;year=2010" target="_blank"><em>Way </em>down</a>.&nbsp;</p>
<p>It reminds us that economists are much more skilled with analysis of the past versus predictions of the future.</p>
<p>A pile of data can only get you so far.</p>
<p>Think of Danville housing market predictions like watching a local weather forecast. A meteorologist can look at the radar and tell you that rain is coming, but it&#8217;s never with 100% certainty.&nbsp; There is <em>always</em> a chance of change.</p>
<p>The housing market is the same way.&nbsp; Just as the U.S. economy is unpredictable, so are housing prices, and so are mortgage rates.&nbsp;</p>
<p>Therefore, when you have a personal finance decision to make, evaluate your options based on the information at hand <em>today </em>rather than an educated guess about the future. The future, after all, is subject to change &#8212; despite what the experts forecast.</p>
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		<title>The Best And Worst Cities For Commuters (2010 Edition)</title>
		<link>http://danvillemortgageblog.com/2010/02/17/best-worst-commutes-2010/</link>
		<comments>http://danvillemortgageblog.com/2010/02/17/best-worst-commutes-2010/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 17 Feb 2010 13:49:46 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Mike Miller</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Statistics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Commute,Forbes]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[According to the Census Bureau, 2.8 million people commute to work 90 minutes or more each day, in each direction. Now, your daily commute may not be as long, but time spent in cars, trains and buses is time away from work and from family. 
No related posts.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><!-- This material is non-exclusively licensed to Michael Miller and may not be copied, reproduced, or sold in any form whatsoever.-->
<p><img style="border: 1px solid black; float: right; margin-left: 5px; margin-right: 5px;" title="The Best and Worst Work Commutes 2010" src="http://bringtheblog.com/i/commute-2010.jpg" alt="The Best and Worst Work Commutes 2010" width="200" height="232" />According to the Census Bureau, 2.8 million people <a title="Extreme Commute survey from the Census Bureau" href="http://www.census.gov/Press-Release/www/releases/archives/american_community_survey_acs/004489.html" target="_blank">commute to work 90 minutes or more</a> each day, in each direction.</p>
<p>Now, your daily commute may not be as long, but time spent in cars, trains and buses is time away from work and from family. Drive-time can affect a person&#8217;s Quality of Life and it&#8217;s one reason why Forbes Magazine&#8217;s Best and Worst Commutes is worth reviewing.</p>
<p>Measuring travel time, road congestion and travel delays in the 60 largest metropolitan areas, Forbes ranks <a title="Forbes Best and Worst Commutes 2010" href="http://www.forbes.com/2010/02/12/best-worst-commutes-lifestyle-mass-transit_chart.html" target="_blank">city commutes from best-to-worst</a> with Salt Lake City topping the list and Tampa-St. Petersburg finishing it.</p>
<p>The Top 5 Commutes, as compiled by Forbes:</p>
<ol>
<li>Salt Lake City, Utah</li>
<li>Buffalo-Niagara Falls, New York</li>
<li>Rochester, New York</li>
<li>Milwaukee-Waukesha-West Allis, Wisconsin</li>
<li>Albany-Schenectady-Troy, New York</li>
</ol>
<p>The bottom 5 are Tampa-St. Petersburg, Detroit, Atlanta, Orlando, and Dallas-Forth Worth.</p>
<p>Long commutes shouldn&#8217;t deter you from moving to a particular city, but the potential commute should be consideration. Before making an offer on your next home, make a rush-hour commute to work from your potential new neighborhood.&nbsp; Then imagine doing it every day.</p>
<p>You can read the complete Forbes list of <a title="Best and Worst Cities for Commuters from Forbes.com" href="http://www.forbes.com/2010/02/12/best-worst-commutes-lifestyle-mass-transit_2.html" target="_blank">Best and Worst Cities for Commuters</a> on its website.</p>
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